Skip to Content
Streetsblog USA home
Streetsblog USA home
Log In
Pedestrian safety

3 Graphs That Explain Why 20 MPH Should Be the Limit on City Streets

Graph: ProPublica
A still from ProPublica's interactive graph.
Graph: ProPublica

Speed kills, especially on city streets teeming with pedestrians and cyclists.

The investigative news nonprofit ProPublica has produced an interactive graph that deftly conveys how just a few miles per hour can spell the difference between life and death when a person is struck by a motorist. ProPublica's Lena Groeger used data from the AAA Safety Foundation to chart the plummeting likelihood of survival as motorist speed increases.

The average pedestrian struck by a driver traveling at 20 mph has a 93 percent chance of surviving. For a 70-year-old, the chances are somewhat lower but still a robust 87 percent.

As Groeger puts it:

Once cars reach a certain speed (just above 20 mph), they rapidly become more deadly. According to [AAA's Brian] Tefft's data, a person is about 70 percent more likely to be killed if they’re struck by a vehicle traveling at 30 mph versus 25 mph.

In collisions at 30 miles per hour, about one in five pedestrians will not survive. For older pedestrians, the odds are significantly worse:

Graph: ProPublica
Graph: ProPublica
Graph: ProPublica

The risk of death continues to rise dramatically as speeds exceed 30 mph. At 40 mph, most older pedestrians will not survive:

Graph: ProPublica
Graph: ProPublica
Graph: ProPublica

In addition to much higher survival rates in the event of a collision, driving at slower speeds reduces stopping distances, making it easier for drivers to avoid hitting people in the first place.

These graphs are a compelling visualization of the data that undergirds campaigns like "20's Plenty" in the UK, where residents have demanded 20 mph streets to protect the most vulnerable. As of last fall, more than 14 million people in the UK lived on streets with 20 mph speed limits, according to 20's Plenty founder Rod King, and the campaign is now focused on extending the 20 mph limit to most streets in the country:

Stay in touch

Sign up for our free newsletter

More from Streetsblog USA

Wednesday’s Headlines Are Running Out of Time

Our chance to avoid catastrophic climate change continues to slip away without urgent action.

January 15, 2025

‘A Big Deal’: Buttigieg’s Final Grants Give Hundreds of Millions To Sustainable Transportation

Secretary Pete's parting gift to America includes big money for bikeways, highways-to-boulevards projects, and more.

January 15, 2025

Video: Trolley Buses are Great Nuts-and-Bolts Transit

The Armchair Urbanist says San Francisco already has a great solution for transit. Let's stop looking for magic technologies and do more of it.

January 14, 2025

Tuesday’s Headlines Are Psyched About Bikes

NACTO's new Urban Bikeway Design Guide tackles the politics of bike lanes in addition to the engineering challenges.

January 14, 2025

Video: Why We Need a Global Freeway Fighters’ Network

A terrible project in Berlin shows the need for a global network to support local freeway fighters everywhere.

January 14, 2025
See all posts