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The green area shown on the map will all be filled in with sprawl in Columbus by 2050 if nothing changes. That would represent a near tripling of Columbus' land area. Image: MORPC, Colubus 2020 and Columbus ULI via Architect's Newspaper
The green area will all be filled in with sprawl by 2050 if current patterns don't change -- more than tripling the land area of Columbus. Map: MORPC, Columbus 2020 and Columbus ULI via Architect's Newspaper
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There's a new study out examining the future of Columbus, Ohio, and the results are a little scary. This growing city in central Ohio has an Atlanta-like geography -- no physical barriers on any side. And if current development patterns continue, Chris Bentley at the Architect's Newspaper reports, the region's physical footprint is expected to more than triple by 2050 as population grows by 500,000:

The Mid Ohio Regional Planning Commission (MORPC), Columbus 2020 and ULI Columbus hired the planning firm Calthorpe Associates to assess the development impact of current trends and make recommendations aimed at curbing patterns that could balloon the region’s environmental problems and its residents transportation budgets.

From the current city land area of 223 square miles, said the study, Columbus and its suburban jurisdictions could swallow up an additional 480 square miles by 2050 if current trends continue. The culprits include large lots for single-family homes and traditional suburban-style development...

"These trends raise important questions about the vitality and competitiveness of our communities and region," reads MORPC’s website.

The study is part of a larger effort dubbed insight2050 that hopes to chart a course for sustainable development in central Ohio.

The planners of insight2050 have outlined four potential future land use scenarios, ranging from the sprawling status quo to an almost completely infill-focused strategy that would develop just an additional 15 square miles.

Elsewhere on the Network today: Rebuilding Place in the Urban Space remarks on how urban farms could increase housing costs in cities with strong housing markets. Greater Greater Washington doubts that lower fares would help Norfolk's light rail. And Twin City Sidewalks explains how Minneapolis' vast network of skyways privatizes what should be public space and undermines diversity.

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