Will Atlanta’s Transpo Referendum Overcome Early Voting Deficit?

Left: A rally in support of Atlanta's transportation referendum yesterday. Right: A rally in opposition. Photo: ##http://blogs.ajc.com/political-insider-jim-galloway/2012/07/30/if-elections-were-press-conferences/##AJC##

It was fitting that yesterday, the eve of the Atlanta region’s historic transportation vote, the Georgia NAACP filed a civil rights suit against the state Department of Transportation alleging discrimination in contracting. Meanwhile, the head of the DeKalb County NAACP has come out against the T-SPLOST tax proposal, saying it will hurt minority-owned businesses. He even took a shot at Atlanta Mayor Kasim Reed, a dogged supporter of the referendum, saying “certain blacks” had been duped into supporting the tax proposal.

The proposed one-cent sales tax to support $7 billion in road and transit projects has drawn opposition from some seemingly unlikely places. Considering that this spending package represents a significant investment in rail and bus service for a region with notoriously poor transit options (the funds split fairly evenly been transit and road projects), the fact that the Sierra Club of Georgia is against it may surprise some. The group has been one of the biggest critics of the plan, saying the “haphazard” project list does not constitute a cohesive transportation strategy and is too heavy on roads. Add to that the opposition of some of the black leaders in urban DeKalb County, and tack on the Georgia Tea Party, which draws its strength from the farthest reaches of the exurbs.

This image, showing transit systems in global cities, has become a viral meme for the historic transportation campaign in Atlanta. A second, opposing meme, turning this one on its head, shows the maps with images of apples superimposed in front of Paris, London and New York City. An orange appeared in front of Atlanta.

Meanwhile, the spending measure enjoys overwhelming political and business support in Atlanta. Coke, Home Depot, Delta, UPS, Clear Channel, Turner Broadcasting, and Georgia Power Company have all given money to support the $8 million campaign for its passage.

Yesterday, Georgia’s Republican Governor Nathan Deal held a rally with Atlanta’s Democratic Mayor Kasim Reed, making a last-minute appeal to voters in the 10-county Atlanta region. Neither man was pulling any punches. Without this new tax, they said, metro Atlanta’s transportation system — and perhaps the whole regional economy — is headed in a bad direction.

If the referendum fails, “we simply don’t have the resources to ensure that Georgia has an adequate transportation network,” said Deal.

Reed dismissed the Sierra Club’s assertion that if voters turn down the package of 157 projects, a new, more transit-heavy list could be produced and passed quickly.

“It took four years to get a bill that you all could vote on,” said Reed. “If we fail, nobody better come and ask me to do it again.”

Meanwhile, opponents of the measure, united under the banner of the Transportation Leadership Coalition, rallied at the statehouse, calling the transportation referendum “a political scheme to squeeze $18 billion out of Georgia taxpayers.” (Atlanta’s referendum is just one of 12 transportation taxes being voted on today all across Georgia.)

Remarking on the better attendance at the pro-referendum rally, the Atlanta Journal Constitution wrote that “if elections were press conferences,” the odds are seemingly in proponents’ favor.

But polling data show the opponents’ messages seem to be resonating more clearly with voters. Early voting tallies show only a third favoring the one-cent tax proposal. Wider polls showed 51 percent oppose the tax and just 42 percent support it, though the referendum’s proponents insist the race is closer.

Local blogger Maria Saporta noted that the tax issue seems to have magnified divides — political, social, philosophical — in the Atlanta region. Saporta said today’s vote — whether the Atlanta region will choose to address its notorious traffic congestion as a region — may be “the biggest test of whether we are a cohesive region.”

Many voters in urban DeKalb and Fulton counties have complained that they already pay a one-cent tax to support MARTA, the regional transit system. Meanwhile, many suburban and exurban counties resent having to support a transportation system they may have never used.

“The nuance that has been lost in the campaign is how the different projects and areas in the region complement each other,” said Saporta. “For example, a stronger transit system that attracts more riders will mean fewer cars on the road. Or if there are significant improvements made at the pivotal intersections of I-285 and Georgia 400, I-285 and I-85, and I-285 and I-20 west, it will help clear up our region’s clogged arteries, thereby helping improve the region’s air quality.”

She concluded: “The challenge will be to get a majority of voters in the region to show the same kind of bi-partisan, regional spirit that the Regional Atlanta Transportation Roundtable showed when 21 urban, suburban, Democrat and Republican elected officials unanimously passed the $6.14 billion project list last October.”

  • Anonymous

    I am very proud of Atlanta tonight. I support transportation infrastructure improvements but government has to earn the trust of voters first. They clearly did not have it in Atlanta. 

  • JakeNF

    I agree Spokker. On day far in the future when the government has reigned in spending and the unions, it may be possible to invest in public transit again. But that day isn’t here. We are BROKE right now, and taxes need to be cut and spending cut it order to get the economy going again. It’s not the time for “nice-to-haves”.

  • Cobb County Steve

    Maybe if they could come up with a transportation plan that serves the majority of people in the Atlanta region they could get more support. Most of us don’t live in downtown Atlanta or take MARTA. A roads-centered plan with new highways and bypasses would get more support than trying to force us onto buses and trains, but as JakeNF points us, decades of government boondoggles and wasteful spending has made the hard-working taxpayer unwilling to shell out another penny in these tough times.

  • J

    Well, the apples to oranges comparison is sadly quite accurate. Atlanta is certainly not anywhere near as vibrant a global city as the others. As a native Atlantan now living in New York, I have to say that I wouldn’t even consider moving back to Atlanta.

    As Atlanta continues to reject any move towards transit, the city is digging itself deeper and deeper into a hole of auto-dependence, oil dependence, obesity, and traffic. 50 years of experience has taught us that building more freeways is a very poor solution towards solving traffic problems. The only city that has been truly successful at building its way out of congestion is Detroit. Is that the model Atlanta is trying to replicate? As gas prices rise, Atlanta will be in very poor shape to deal with the consequences. I’ll take NYC, Portland, Seattle, SF, or Chicago instead. Even LA is quickly building new and better transit.

  • Don-Jon

    Another issue is the increased crime that expanded public transportation would bring.