The Once and Future Auto Bailouts

You’d think the Obama campaign had confused Michigan and Ohio with Iowa and New Hampshire. As his 2012 Republican challengers flooded early primary states last month, the President instead headed to where he could stand beside beaming auto executives and watch proud workers toiling on once-idle assembly lines. The Obama administration and the industry have been making a hard media push this summer, celebrating the auto bailout as a big win — for the politicians who supported it, for the economy that they claim needed it, and for the taxpayer who still begrudges it.

President Obama speaking at a Chrysler assembly plant in Toledo last month. Photo: Paul Sancya/##http://articles.nydailynews.com/2011-06-10/news/29663251_1_auto-bailout-auto-industry-ohio-eatery##AP##

To this day, Americans remain unconvinced of the bailout’s wisdom, and fewer than half of likely voters are optimistic that we will be repaid the total $80 billion we coughed up. And if Americans were more familiar with one underreported aspect of the bailout — the rescues of the automotive financial firms — they’d feel even less enthusiastic about joining the party in Detroit and Washington.

Between 2008 and 2009, we taxpayers forked over $17 billion to GMAC (now Ally Financial) and $1.5 billion to Chrysler Financial under the vague theory that they formed an essential part of the auto industry. In doing so, we preserved two entities that, like the banks and mortgage companies, were making subprime loans to consumers: high-interest loans made to high-risk borrowers. Chrysler Financial has paid us back, but despite making more auto loans than any other company last year, Ally just delayed its planned IPO because it is not doing well enough to enable the government to reduce its majority stake.

To repay taxpayers and be profitable going forward, these institutions have concluded that they must expand their portfolio of subprime loans, and they are doing so with gusto. Last month, the credit scores of those buying new cars hit a five-year low. Overall, lending to buyers with credit scores under 680 has been rising quarter after quarter so that four out of 10 auto loans today are subprime. That’s right: 42 percent of Americans — including many economically vulnerable people — are taking on auto debt at high rates of interest, making purchases set to become albatrosses dragging down their tissue-thin household budgets.

Although these lenders assert that subprime auto loans do not pose a risk to the financial system similar to that presented by subprime home loans, this is distinctly disingenuous. Yes, the auto loan market is smaller than the mortgage market, and yes, lenders can quickly repossess cars against which loans are made. But this by no means ensures that these companies won’t fail or find themselves in need of another bailout. Subprime auto lenders might not be the principal driver of a financial crisis, but they absolutely contributed to and suffered from the last one. Like the mortgage lenders, they bundled, securitized, and sold off car loans into a market that collapsed, and GMAC actually diversified into home loans at the bubble’s peak. Obviously, these firms can feed into — and falter from — the next crisis as well.

Aside from potentially causing major damage to the economic system, subprime loans also end up hurting their supposed beneficiaries. Subprime lenders enjoy playing the hero, trumpeting that they provide struggling Americans the opportunity to buy a car. This might have some merit, if subprime loans were being made solely on modestly and fairly priced economy cars. Instead, lenders are taking the opportunity to maximize profit; people with lower credit scores tend to be sold cars at inflated prices and are subject to higher dealer interest rate markups.

The rationale for rescuing the two financial arms remains murky. In Overhaul, a memoir of his stint as so-called car czar, the best that Steven Rattner offers is that the “fincos” were part of the auto industry and that the collapse of the financial markets had “created havoc for the automakers.” From where we sit today, it is hard to know exactly what would have been the outcome of allowing them to fail.

Many car buyers, ironically, would have been better off. These companies provide most of their loans through dealerships, and car buyers usually benefit when they borrow instead from a neighborhood bank or credit union. Buyers who head into the showroom already financed are less likely to buy a pricier car than they need, are more assured of getting the best rate, and are less susceptible to sales or lending fraud.

But most are not so lucky. We spoke with a Rhode Island factory worker, Greg, who was convinced to take on more than $20,000 in debt for a sensational new pickup he bought under the Cash for Clunkers program. To keep up with his payments and avoid repossession, he had to take a second job driving a taxi.

Taxpayers would surely have been better off without the bailouts of the auto financial firms. Even if fully repaid, we will find we have enabled the re-bloating of our national auto debt.

It is easy to imagine how $18.5 billion could have gone instead to reducing the deficit or to sustaining or building our transportation system in more efficient and equitable ways. Preventing transit fare hikes, maintaining eroding infrastructure, keeping traffic and transit police on payrolls, funding investment in green transportation and complete streets, and working on creating jobs closer to the people who really can’t afford cars: The alternatives were a beautiful and bountiful lot.

Catherine Lutz, a Brown University anthropologist, and Anne Lutz Fernandez, a former marketer and banker, are the authors of Carjacked: The Culture of the Automobile and its Effect on our Lives (Palgrave Macmillan).

  • Larry Littlefield

    Speaking of GMAC/Rescap, the firm decided to grow that firm’s role beyond its traditional role of supporting auto sales because it was presumably more profitable than making things.  Among other things, GM got out of making buses while growing GMAC/Rescap.  Then GMAC/Rescap bankrupted GM/

    They are not alone.  GE Capital almost wrecked GE.  Free from regulation when making big money, it had to become a regulated bank in an emergency to get 0% financing from the Fed.  At least GE didn’t decide to stop making rail locomotives.  GM did that, too.

  • Christopher Carrington

    “From where we sit today, it is hard to know exactly what would have been the outcome of allowing them to fail.”  We call this facile kind of analysis: “Monday-morning quarterbacking.”  The administration made tough decisions and millions of people in the auto sector lost their jobs despite our best efforts, but some were saved and those were worth fighting for despite your disdain for their auto-dependent employment.  Lutz and Lutz-Fernandez should stick to anthropology and marketing and leave the serious analysis to people who really understood the risks of allowing wide-spread failure of the auto-finance sector in the midst of an economic catastrophe. 

  • Sprague

    Exposing the complicity of government programs and bailouts in perpetuating our unsustainable car culture is laudable.  (On an unrelated note, as a Streetsblog reader, I would appreciate it if opinion or commentary pieces were clearly identified as such so as to not be confused with articles of a more objective nature.)

  • And we call this facile kind of analysis “manalysis”, where you characterize a favored set of actors as manly dudes making tough decisions and the other side as silly ladies with inappropriate academic credentials. Serious people don’t waste time on reflection; they are too busy “fighting for” jobs by spending other people’s money on a temporary jolt for a doomed private enterprise. So brave!

    I’m sure the loose spenders of those billions will employ all manner of sports metaphors to distract the public from looking at the poor return on its investment, but if we don’t look back Monday morning at what went wrong we’re going to have a hell of a lot more lost weekends.

ALSO ON STREETSBLOG

Pelosi, Reid and Emanuel Push for Carmaker Bailout

|
Cadillac assembly line replica at the Detroit Historical Museum Over the weekend, Democratic leaders in the House and Senate urged the Bush administration to extend financial aid intended for Wall Street to struggling domestic carmakers, a move that could have the support of President-elect Obama. The Times reports that on Saturday, House Speaker Nancy Pelosi […]

Obama Wants Car Czar to Accompany Big Three Aid

|
More details of a possible Obama administration-led auto industry bailout emerged yesterday when Politico reported that the president-elect wants a "high-profile point person to oversee reforms" attached to any financial aid. Specifics about the proposal remain unclear. But the transition team says Obama suggested to President Bush on Monday that aid to the auto industry […]

GM Bailout Will Cost Taxpayers as Much as $12 Billion

|
“Government Motors” no more. The federal government is calling in its loans to General Motors, which received a taxpayer-funded injection of almost $50 billion at the height of the financial meltdown in 2008. Over the next 12 to 15 months, President Obama says the world’s largest automaker, which has been turning a healthy profit since 2010, […]

Obama: America “Cannot Walk Away” From the Automobile

|
In his first address to a joint session of Congress, President Barack Obama last night emphasized his administration’s commitment to keeping the domestic auto industry afloat, while offering only a passing mention to the nation’s mass transit systems. Said Obama: As for our auto industry, everyone recognizes that years of bad decision-making and a global […]

The Auto Industry Wants Your Thanks

|
Feeling warmer and fuzzier about the auto industry bailout? With the help of the Obama reelection campaign, the industry is convincing more Americans that the $80 billion they forked over to save it were dollars well spent. In the latest Pew poll, the public responded more positively toward the bailout than ever before, with 56 […]