Will Urban Revitalization Leave Some Cities Behind?

Chris Leinberger’s op-ed about the decline of the outer suburbs a few weeks ago in the New York Times has been widely praised and scrutinized in the blogosphere. A few of us remarked that the decline of the outer suburbs and the rise of the central city doesn’t seem to be a uniform trend across the United States. Cities like Louisville, Kentucky and Cleveland, Ohio flip the whole dynamic, to some extent.

Cheaply built houses + a weak market = disinvestment. But it isn't always suburbs at the losing end of this dynamic, say Rob Pitingolo. Photo: ##http://www.flickr.com/photos/r80o/62199526/## Flickr/Mark Strozier##

Network blogger Rob Pitingolo at Extraordinary Observations says he agrees with the basic theory that urban areas hold a special appeal for the younger generation. But he thinks the trend is more complicated than Leinberger suggested:

At one point, the suburbs looked so much “nicer” because that’s where the building was – that’s where stuff was brand new. That’s not necessarily true anymore. Now, some of the newest, shiniest stuff is right in the heart of the city.

In high-cost cities, like DC… a $200,000 rowhouse rehab might be well worth the cost when you can turn around and sell the house for half a million or more. A similar job simply doesn’t make any financial sense in a city like Cleveland. In fact, the Plain Dealer article specifically says that developers aren’t building in downtown Cleveland without government incentives because the rents are too low to support the kind of investment they need to make.

I think the more realistic assessment of suburbs and cities is that some suburbs will see a precipitous decline, some urban neighborhoods will experience a renaissance, and the degree to which each happens will be highly dependent on local market conditions. In other words, it will happen, but it won’t be as clear cut as the magazine articles might lead you to believe.

Elsewhere on the Network today: The Transport Politic writes a eulogy for another Detroit transit project. After a particularly gruesome example, Stop and Move wonders why the media never follow up on hit-and-run deaths of pedestrians or cyclists. And Fort Worthology announces that shared bus/bike lanes are coming to its namesake city.

ALSO ON STREETSBLOG

Will Second-Ring Suburbs Choose Evolution or Decline?

|
Second-ring suburbs are at a crossroads, says Nathaniel Hood at Streets.mn. These aren’t streetcar suburbs, but those that came after, where every home had a garage, the product of an era when driving was considered a symbol of American prosperity. With infrastructure maintenance costs rising with age, and no room for more sprawl, these areas must either “build up” […]

Violent Crime Up in the Suburbs, Down in Big Cities

|
A result of better city policing? Or a symptom of suburban decline? The Wall Street Journal reports that over the last 10 years violent crime has spiked in the suburbs while tapering off in cities. Using data from the federal Bureau of Justice Statistics and the Brookings Institution, WSJ reporters found that suburban homicide rates increased 16.9 […]

The Suburbs Aren’t Dying — They’re Growing Differently

|
Cross-posted from the Frontier Group. Sommer Mathis said much of what needed to be said about the recent round of “the suburbs are back, baby!” stories on housing trends, including this analysis from Jed Kolko, housing economist at Trulia.com, and the related commentary from Matt Yglesias at Vox. Mathis argues that the concept of a battle for supremacy between cities and […]

To Thrive, Suburbs Might Become More Urban

|
A very interesting article in USA Today on the future viability of suburbs came up in our Twitter feed this morning, via Community Research Partners of Columbus, Ohio. The piece, by Haya el Nasser, starts out talking about how population is falling in many of the suburbs that grew most quickly over the last few […]