What the Results of 8 Governors’ Races Mean for Cities and Transit

Yesterday’s elections returned some of the nation’s most anti-urban, anti-transit governors to power in races where they were supposed to be vulnerable. Pro-transit candidates were unexpectedly routed in some states, though a few did manage to hang on.

For more background on these races, check out yesterday’s election preview. Here’s what to expect going forward.

Republican Larry Hogan could be bad news for rail transit in Maryland. Photo: Wikimedia
Republican Larry Hogan could be bad news for rail transit in Maryland. Photo: Wikimedia

Maryland

The biggest upset by far was in Maryland, where Democratic Lt. Gov. Anthony Brown was defeated by suburban real estate magnate Larry Hogan. Just a few weeks prior, Brown had been leading by double digits.

This stunning reversal has ominous consequences for transit in Maryland. Hogan opposes two major rail projects — the Purple Line Metro extension in suburban DC and Baltimore’s Red Line.

Transit advocates have their work cut out to convince Hogan to save both projects. But David Alpert, writing about the Purple Line in Greater Greater Washington, says the new governor has some incentive to let it proceed:

Now, it’s very close to actual construction, and the federal government supports the line. If Hogan kills the project, he’ll be turning down likely federal dollars that won’t go to other Maryland priorities, and he’ll be disappointing many voters in a much more visceral way than under [former Republican Gov. Bob] Ehrlich.

Wisconsin

Governor Scott Walker’s reelection by a six-point margin is certain keep the state mired in a 1950s-era, highways-only approach to transportation. Under Walker’s watch, Wisconsin has plowed billions of dollars into the country’s most pointless highway-building bonanza, while shortchanging transit so much that federal courts recently intervened. Perhaps the best symbol of his “leadership” on transportation is a proposed doubledecker highway, a useless boondoggle for any city, let alone slow-growing Milwaukee.

His challenger, Mary Burke, a former executive for Trek Bicycles, likely would have pursued a more balanced approach.

Massachusetts Governor-elect Charlie Baker. Photo: Wikipedia
Massachusetts Governor-elect Charlie Baker. Photo: Wikipedia

Massachusetts

Republican Charlie Baker prevailed over Democrat Martha Coakley in the Bay State. Attorney General Coakley had pledged strong support for smart growth policies, including transit investment and pedestrian infrastructure. Baker, by comparison, hedged his support for transit with remarks about the necessity of driving for many of the state’s residents.

The editors of the Daily Free Press at Boston University expressed concern this morning that Baker is unlikely to champion the transit growth the state needs. “Baker has emphasized keeping up with the current infrastructure rather than trying to tackle the roots of the Commonwealth’s public transportation problems,” they wrote.

Colorado

Governor John Hickenlooper narrowly defeated Republican challenger Bob Beauprez in a contest that wasn’t conclusively decided until this morning. Hickenlooper’s victory bodes well for transit and active transportation in Colorado cities. As mayor of Denver, Hickenlooper launched B-Cycle bike-share and was one of the leading architects of the region’s FasTracks transit network expansion.

Bruce Rauner, the mysterious next governor of Illinois. Photo: Wikipedia
Bruce Rauner, the “mysterious” next governor of Illinois. Photo: Wikipedia

Illinois

John Greenfield at Streetsblog Chicago writes that Illinois’s governor-elect, Republican venture capitalist Bruce Rauner, is a “total mystery on transportation.”

Rauner avoided taking positions on transportation issues for the most part and failed to return a candidate survey from the Active Transportation Alliance. However, his stated goal of cutting taxes could mean less funding for transportation infrastructure of all kinds.

Rauner will replace Pat Quinn, whose record on transportation is tainted by a number of road widenings and highway expansion ventures, including the hugely expensive Illiana tollway.

Florida

Governor Rick Scott edged out Democratic convert Charlie Crist in the sunshine state. Scott’s reelection might actually be good news for the privately-funded intercity rail system that’s shaping up from Miami to Orlando. Crist would not commit to supporting the project. Scott isn’t a governor who’ll devote public funds to transit or rail, however. When intercity rail was in line for hundreds of millions in federal support, he used specious research from the anti-rail Reason Foundation to spurn the assistance.

Dan Malloy's reelection should be a good thing for transit in Connecticut. Photo: State of Connecticut
Dan Malloy’s reelection should be a good thing for transit in Connecticut. Photo: State of Connecticut

Connecticut

Governor Dan Malloy’s reelection by the closest of margins likely signals continued progress for transit in Connecticut.

Malloy has committed to the Hartford-New Britain busway and improvements to the New Haven-Hartford-Springfield rail line. His opponent, Republican Tom Foley, said he wanted the state to spend more on road expansion.

Michigan

Rick Snyder edged out Democratic challenger Mark Schauer in Michigan. Snyder has proven himself to be an unusual Republican, presiding over some important reforms at the Michigan Department of Transportation. He also helped broker a deal to bring regional transit to Detroit, replacing inefficient, atomized suburban and urban systems.

On the other hand, Michigan still pursues deeply flawed transportation policies. Almost two years after approval of the Regional Transportation Authority, the poor state of Detroit transit remains a catastrophic drain on its fragile economy and struggling residents. Meanwhile, the region plans to pour $4 billion into two highways.

Schauer ran on a “fix the infrastructure” campaign. His platform focused mostly on repairing Michigan’s notoriously potholed roads, but he also mentioned complete streets, transit, and the need to provide alternatives to driving.

Pennsylvania‘s new governor deserved his own post. Find it here.

  • AlanF

    Should not overlook Pennsylvania with Governor-elect Tom Wolf. He has stated support for transit, expansion of SEPTA service and passenger rail in the state.

  • Al Carr

    It is misleading to refer to the proposed purple line in Maryland as a “Metro extension”

  • Larry Littlefield

    Illinois is broke no matter who wins, as a result of debts and pensions. Like New Jersey. The question isn’t what they’ll get. It is what they’ll lose, and when they’ll lose it.

  • C Monroe

    Silverlining, maybe the ill thought out Illiani is DOA

  • Juline An

    I’m shocked that anyone can make $7892 in 1 month on the computer, work is open 24 hours, 7 days a week for more check………?.ws/domainear

  • BlueFairlane

    You’ve uncovered Rauner’s plan to get Illinois back on track!

  • ardecila

    Has it been conclusively decided that Maryland would operate the line instead of WMATA?

    Several systems, including MTA in Baltimore, present heavy rail and light rail as part of a unified schema – Purple Line may eventually be part of Metro despite the difference in technology.

  • Doug

    Hogan will be really stupid to kill both the Purple Line and the Baltimore Red Line projects, as he would immediately hurt his chances for a 2nd term. Plus, Senator Ben Cardin will be on the ballot in 2018. Hogan won a midterm election by less than 5% against a bad Democratic candidate, Anthony Brown, when other lesser-known Democratic candidates such as Heather Mizeur or Doug Gansler would have defeated him once voters had gotten to know either one. All of those candidates got more votes in the Democratic primary than Hogan got in the GOP primary. Hogan also got nearly half of his votes from Indepedents and Democrats, even as heavily Democratic areas in Prince George’s and Montgomery Counties had low voter turnouts. There were some other gains in the Maryland General Assembly for the GOP, but no gains at the Congressional level. Hogan won Baltimore County handily, but Democratic County Executive Kevin Kamenetz easily won re-election there. I guess Hogan will likely put these projects on hold for full Federal funding.

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